![]() ![]() A few 2-category improvements were justified across Missouri and Illinois where more than 6 inches of rainfall occurred and there was support from the short to long-term indicators. Heavy rainfall (2 to 8 inches, locally more) during the first week of August prompted widespread improvements to Missouri, southern Iowa, Illinois, and Indiana. Heavy rainfall (more than 2 inches) resulted in a 1-category improvement to northern and eastern Oklahoma along with parts of Tennessee. During the past two months, temperatures have averaged 2 to 6 degrees F above normal across parts of Texas and Louisiana. 30 to 60-day SPI/SPEI, NDMC’s short-term blend, and soil moisture were leaned on for these degradations. Increasing 30 to 60-day precipitation deficits coupled with excessive heat and high evapotranspiration rates support a widespread 1-category degradation across Texas, Louisiana, and southwest Mississippi. Based on recent precipitation, abnormal dryness (D0) was modified in parts of Alabama, Georgia, the Carolinas, and Virginia. Another factor contributing to this unusual summer Florida drought is the periods of excessive heat. However, the west-central Florida Peninsula continues to see a lack of summer sea breeze thunderstorms and a persistence of drought of varying intensity. The majority of the Southeast is drought-free with above normal precipitation for most areas dating back 90 and 180 days. Based on 30 to 90-day SPI, D0 was added to Nantucket and Martha’s Vineyard in southeastern Massachusetts. Recent rainfall of more than 1.5 inches led to a reduction of D0 across northern West Virginia. Heavy rainfall (locally more than 3 inches) led to the removal of D0 in central New York, while D0 and D1 continues on Long Island. However, long-term indicators continue to support abnormal dryness (D0) and moderate drought (D1) along and to the west of I-95. NortheastĪ 1-category improvement was made in the DC/Baltimore areas after more than 1.5 inches of rainfall. Short-term drought expanded this past week across parts of the Hawaiian Islands. On August 7, a severe weather outbreak with heavy rainfall affected the East. Farther to the north, drought continues to intensify across Wisconsin. The wet start to August resulted in improving drought across parts of the Corn Belt. During the first week of August, parts of Missouri received 5 to 10 inches (locally more) of rainfall. Frequent rounds of heavy rainfall occurred from the central Great Plains southeastward to the middle Mississippi Valley. The Monsoon remains suppressed with increasing short-term drought across Arizona, New Mexico and southwest Colorado. The persistence of this pattern led to rapidly developing and intensifying drought across Texas and the lower Mississippi Valley. Weekly temperatures (August 2 to 8) averaged more than 6 degrees F above normal across portions of Louisiana, Texas, and southern New Mexico. ![]() The current forecast from the National Weather Service has temperatures rebounding into the lower 40's the week after Christmas, but another chance of snow is coming heading into New Year's Eve and January 1, 2023.A strong area of mid-level high pressure, anchored over the southern tier of the country, continued to promote above-normal temperatures and mostly dry weather across the Rio Grande Valley, Texas, and the lower Mississippi Valley. Lows on Friday night will be around 0, and on Christmas Eve night it will drop to -8 below zero.Ĭhristmas Day is expected to be sunny with a high around 10, and then up into the 20s by Monday (12/26). Temperatures in Rockford will be bitter cold with lows on Thursday night around 4, and the high on Friday expected to be around 9. Snow accumulation will be significant in some parts of Illinois with Rockford expected to get between 2 and 6 inches, and in Chicago 9 to 16 inches of accumulation is possible by Friday night. The National Weather Service warns that "Windchills of this magnitude can cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes." With rapidly dropping temperatures and expected wind gusts around 55 mph, power outages are possible and wind chills could be near -25 below zero. ![]()
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